Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.099293 0.114930 0.132022 0.152063 0.174889 0.200049 0.229854
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.077386 0.098463 0.123530 0.155426 0.194807 0.241703 0.301639
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.063634 0.088033 0.119282 0.161967 0.218438 0.290234 0.388021
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.050434 0.075365 0.109536 0.159308 0.229361 0.323746 0.459690
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.043988 0.070372 0.108758 0.167883 0.255665 0.379949 0.567646
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.037435 0.063845 0.104461 0.170342 0.273058 0.425193 0.664992
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.030976 0.056166 0.097013 0.166584 0.280147 0.455552 0.743193
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.026211 0.050333 0.091422 0.164643 0.289302 0.489352 0.829384
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.024100 0.048690 0.092433 0.173525 0.316727 0.554250 0.970610
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.022115 0.046896 0.092831 0.181222 0.342758 0.619073 1.117486
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.018748 0.041835 0.086514 0.175889 0.345129 0.643943 1.198973
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.016379 0.038342 0.082598 0.174382 0.353986 0.680489 1.303463
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.013878 0.034178 0.076858 0.168788 0.354936 0.703720 1.387909
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.012013 0.031069 0.072800 0.165988 0.360905 0.736689 1.493296
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.010914 0.029517 0.071800 0.169359 0.379473 0.795059 1.651512
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.009376 0.026607 0.067355 0.164696 0.380924 0.820273 1.748070
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.008855 0.026160 0.068461 0.172467 0.409469 0.901813 1.962519
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.008034 0.024763 0.067104 0.174399 0.425485 0.959218 2.133138
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.006989 0.022542 0.063387 0.170245 0.427401 0.987357 2.245852
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.006181 0.020823 0.060660 0.168095 0.433588 1.024987 2.381449
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.005951 0.020777 0.062295 0.177053 0.466782 1.124090 2.656532
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.005681 0.020555 0.063421 0.184839 0.497951 1.221243 2.934818
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.004944 0.018686 0.059700 0.179379 0.496019 1.243548 3.049059